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Scott
01-18-2006, 12:27 PM
Article taken from Ultimate AV (http://www.guidetohometheater.com/features/106ces1/index1.html)


HD DVD and Blu-ray at CES


Shane C. Buettner, January, 2006

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Shane Buettner covered developments in the HD DVD and Blu-ray format
wars at this year's CES. This is his report. And for our wrap-up of all the
other goings-on at CES, watch this space for our final report on CES 2006
this coming week!—TJN

What a strange brew of excitement and fear and loathing this year's trip
to Las Vegas for the annual CES brought, courtesy of the war between next generation
HD optical disc formats. If the announcements at CES 2006 hold (admittedly
a big if), this little format war is going to be a shootin' war in just a few
months time. Yes, we saw hardware and mock software and loops of clips from
both formats. We even got some sense of what the enhanced interactivity features
will mean to us (and yes, it's good). Yes, the first titles are scheduled to
ship in March. And yes, it certainly appears to be a lock that there will be
two formats shoved in the face of consumers, who, at least in a mass-market
sense, probably don't want either one and will probably sit on the sidelines
and avoid both.

That's not to say I'll sit this one out, or that I'd recommend that course
of action to anyone else. I'm dying for HD on optical disc, and the only thing
tempering my excitement is this nasty little format war. I'd prefer to be jumping
up and down about HD on a silver disc right now, but the specter of the consumers
sitting it out (which has been recommended by every mainstream publication
I've read so far, including my local newspaper) and protracting acceptance
of either format gives me cold feet and frankly, is the kind of thing that
makes me feel plain embarrassed when I explain it to my friends. It's never
fun to see your industry kick itself in the groin by screwing up such a good
thing, but historically speaking, nothing about the rocky, hurry up and wait
evolution of HDTV in general suggested it could be otherwise. Without any further
bellyaching, here's what happened last week at CES 2006.


HD DVD Now Playing- In March, Anyway

I rolled into Sin City just in time to gussy myself up and hit the big HD DVD
press event held on Wednesday night. How big? So big that many members of
the press, including me, were shuffled off into an "overflow" room
to watch the presentation on closed circuit TV instead of live in the flesh.
The HD DVD group made up for this slight with a SWAG (Stuff We All Get) bag
including not only a couple of current generation DVDs that will be obsolete
in a few months, but also a hybrid DVD/HD DVD disc. While I can't confirm
anything about the HD DVD layer of this disc until I get a next-gen player,
the DVD layer certainly plays, and yeah, that's a strong statement about
the readiness of HD DVD. And indeed, the theme of the evening was HD DVD, "Now
Playing."

The event was hosted by Access Hollywood's Nancy O'Dell, who quickly reminded
me why I don't watch her show and also introduced Toshiba's first two production
HD DVD players, the $499 HD-A1 and the step-up $799 HD-AX1. Both are slated
for delivery to stores in March, along with the first waves of software titles.
The latter is a nice piece of kit for eight bills. And a big point was made
that Toshiba's players at CES were not prototypes in any way, shape or form,
but production players right off the assembly line.

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Toshiba's HD-XA1

Coincident with the player launch in late March will be the beginning of the
rollout of software titles from Paramount, Warner, and Universal (Studio Canal
is also signed on with HD DVD, but no title information was given). The number
of titles will ramp up to 50 titles between March and June, and expand to nearly
200 titles by the holiday 2006 shopping season. All the announced HD DVD and
Blu-ray titles are listed below. In addition to some classics and some very
recent catalog titles, there are a few hot titles here and there that will,
in a good news/bad news scenario, be day and date releases with the standard
DVD.

Since HD DVD is capable of being produced as a hybrid disc with a standard
DVD layer, it's hoped that these day and date releases will be hybrids and
not separate releases, but that's not the way the press materials read as of
now. Also, while you'll read below that the Blu-ray titles that have been announced
are clearly specified as 1080p, I was told that HD DVD titles almost certainly
will be 1080i.

The nailing down of a March date for launch is at least a little bit daring
given that the AACS copy protection standard is not completely finalized, and
HD DVD has already blown its previous launch targets in the US and Japan. But
the group feels confident that the standard is close enough to completion to
make the launch, which according to the software press releases will in fact
begin in the last week of March.

After the player announcements the first two speakers were from Microsoft
and Intel. HD DVD will be fully supported by the next-gen Windows operating
system, Vista, and Microsoft also announced that its Xbox 360 gaming console
will be made HD DVD compatible by a connected external drive.

It's hard for me to believe that some development isn't going on at Microsoft
in case Blu-ray, which enjoys much broader support from hardware manufacturers
and studios alike, wins the format war. It would in fact be downright foolish,
and I seriously doubt Microsoft would be so shortsighted. As soon as it becomes
apparent Blu-ray is the winner, expect a very quick service patch for Vista
and other Windows operating systems.

Moving forward, another fella from Microsoft came out, and as I'd expect
from the company that wrought Windows, his first attempt at a demonstration
of HD DVD was aborted as the disc refused to load. Rather than reboot, he went
to the next, and most effective part of the demonstration.

We've all heard that the next-gen formats will boast enhanced interactivity,
but if you're like me you don't consider things like increased copy protection
as benefits to the consumer. Well, a demo of some of the features on an HD
DVD copy of The Bourne Supermacy offered a glimpse at the future of
optical disc extras.

Performing a chapter search on the current DVD platform requires exiting
the movie and entering a new screen, and often having to shuffle through sets
of scenes before finding the one you want. With HD DVD, the movie plays in
full motion while the chapters superimpose over the video at the bottom of
the screen. Scroll to the scene you want and click on it, never leaving the
movie screen.

While DVD's commentary tracks are voice only, the HD DVD of The Bourne
Supremacy had several talking-head style filmed commentaries. After
choosing the commentary stream you want, you then choose whether the talking
head is a translucent one in the corner of the screen, like a TV network
logo, or the main video fades into the background and the commentary video
becomes the main image on screen. Pretty cool.

In a further display of bravado, Amazon.com's Greg Hart came out and said
the online outlet is so big on HD DVD that it's already taking preorders on
titles. Indeed a visit to Amazon revealed an HD DVD store within the store.
So, HD DVD must be for real if it's for sale on the Internet!

Blu-ray or Blowhard? Blu-ray has always enjoyed broader hardware and software
support, and while the Sony-backed format didn't have production players and
discs abounding the show floor, the number of players and movie titles (from
Disney, Fox, Lion's Gate, Paramount, Sony, and Warner) clearly outpaced rival
HD DVD. But the showroom floor was full of mock-up software boxes, and Blu-ray "demonstrations" played
loops of clips, not finished discs. Even at Blu-ray's gala event on Thursday
night, there was a noticeable shortage of specifics and anything resembling
an effective demonstration.

While Toshiba is offering an HD DVD player at $500, stand alone Blu-ray players
announced and shown so far have all been at $1000 and up. The spiffy-looking
Pioneer Elite BDP-HD1 is a heavy at $1800, with players from Samsung and Panasonic
slated at $1K each. Of course the PlaySation3 will cost only $300-$400, when
it comes, but Sony's stand alone BDP-S1 isn't priced as of yet. And unfortunately
Sony didn't shed any further light on PS3's arrival or the exact launch date
of Blu-ray players and software, even at their gala press event Thursday night.

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Pioneer Elite BDP-HD1

Blu-ray's Thursday press event was nowhere near as informative as HD DVD's.
The first announcement, met with cheers by attendees working for Blu-ray manufacturers,
was the format's specifications are now complete. Note though that AACS copy
protection is spec'd for Blu-ray as well as HD DVD, and those specs are not
yet finalized, which might explain the Blu-ray group's reticence to offer a
hard launch date.

Film director Barry Sonnenfeld, Michael Dell, and others spent a lot of time
telling us how awesome Blu-ray is going to be, and how it's going to be better
for consumers, and yet no one offered a single specific feature or spec for
the format or the announced titles. We can assume that Blu-ray's Java-based
interactivity will be at least as slick as HD DVD's, but that's all it is for
now- an assumption. So, the Blu-ray press event was an hour and half of my
life I'll never get back, its only lingering effect being the risk of permanent
hearing damage caused by the dangerous SPLs of the demo clips blasted out over
the night club's PA system.

See next post for Part 2

Scott
01-18-2006, 12:28 PM
Part 2

Fortunately some of the press materials for the software and hardware announcements
shed some light. The list of titles is below, and the most salient feature
noted is that all the Blu-ray titles are specified as being 1080p, not 1080i,
and some, such as Fifth Element are listed as having uncompressed
multichannel digital audio soundtracks. Blu-ray is spec'd for uncompressed
linear PCM, up to eight channels at resolution as high as 24-bit/192kHz (HD
DVD is spec'd for up to eight channels at 24/96kHz). In addition, both Dolby
and DTS have new audio formats that will be available for Blu-ray and HD DVD
releases that offer lossless compression with bit-for-bit reconstruction on
playback. I'm encouraged, if not outright thrilled that we're already seeing
titles aimed at providing higher quality sound in addition to high definition
video, something that will be a natural for Blu-ray concert and music videos
as well.

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Just when we thought we were safe from the blue diva demo scene!

On 1080p, that makes me a little curious. As far as I know, most HD masters
archived by the studios are 1080i. I don't know if Sony has made new masters,
if they do some deinterlacing before encoding the discs to get 1080p from a
1080i master, or if the players simply do a conversion to 1080p and the marketing
people are playing a little fast and loose with the distinction. Look for some
news on that soon here at UAV.

As far as timing is concerned, the press releases on hardware and software
vacillate between spring and "early summer." The Blu-ray press releases
also tout that there will some titles day and date with DVD releases, which
raises an ugly worse case scenario. Should Warner and Paramount choose, they
could confront consumers with new day and date release in not one, not two,
but all three formats. Ouch. That could leave a mark.

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Blu-ray Discs really are blue!

One other note is that while Warner has lately been portrayed as being more
compelled by Blu-ray, there are a handful or hot titles, including the surefire
hit Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire, that are for now announced
only for HD DVD, not Blu-ray.

So it does appear after all that HD DVD might in fact get a head start on
Blu-ray in stores, if the current timetables hold. Later in the show, I asked
a representative from Philips how they plan to convince uninitiated consumers
that Blu-ray is a better high definition format when they're faced with not
one but two formats in their local Best Buy. His answer was that even a non-techie
will be impressed by the greater number of choices in Blu-ray players and the
broader selection of movies available. Unfortunately, we're going to find out
just how compelling a sales pitch that is.

Announced Players

Blu-ray

Panasonic DMR-E700BD - No Price, early summer
Philips BDP - No Price, 2nd half of 2006
Pioneer Elite BDP-HD1- $1800, June
Samsung BD-P1000- $1000 early spring
Sony BDP-S1- No price, early summer
Sony PlayStation3- $300-$400, spring



HD DVD

RCA HDV-5000- $500, April
Toshiba HD-A1- $499, March
Toshiba HD-XA1- $799, March


Announced Titles

Blu-ray

Buena Vista Home Video (Disney)- Kill Bill: Vol. 1, Dark Water, Ladder
49, The Brothers Grimm, Armageddon, Jay and Silent Bob Strike Back, Dinosaur,
Everest
Fox- Fox claims its initial "first wave" of Blu-ray titles will
be 20 strong, but for now has only specified the following titles: Behind
Enemy Lines, Fantastic Four, Ice Age, Kiss the Dragon, The League of Extraordinary
Gentlemen
Lion's Gate- Devil's Rejects, Dune, First Blood, Lord of War, The Punisher,
Reservoir Dogs, Saw, T2: Judgment Day, Total Recall
Paramount- Aeon Flux, Four Brothers, The Italian Job, Mission Impossible
1, 2, and 3, Lara Croft: Tomb Raider, Sahara, The Manchurian Candidate (remake),
Sky Captain and World of Tomorrow, Tim Burton's Sleepy Hollow, U2 Rattle
and Hum, We Were Soldiers
Sony Pictures Home Entertainment- The Fifth Element (multichannel
uncompressed audio), Bram Stoker's Dracula, Desperado, For a Few Dollars
More, The Guns of Navarone, Hitch, House of Flying Daggers, A Knight's Tale,
Kung Fu Hustle, The Last Waltz, Legends of the Fall, Resident Evil, Apocalypse,
Robocop, Sense and Sensibility, Stealth, Species, SWAT, XXX, Black Hawk Down (50GB
dual-layer), Bridge on the River Kwai (50GB dual-layer)
Warner- Batman Begins, Charlie & The Chocolate Factory, Constantine,
The Dukes of Hazzard, The Last Samurai, Lethal Weapon, The Matrix, Million
Dollar Baby, Oceans 12, Swordfish, Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines,
Training Day, Troy, Twister, Unforgiven


HD DVD

Paramount- Aeon Flux, Four Brothers, The Italian Job, Mission Impossible
1, 2, and 3, Lara Croft: Tomb Raider, Sahara, The Manchurian Candidate (remake),
Sky Captain and World of Tomorrow, Tim Burton's Sleepy Hollow, U2 Rattle
and Hum, We Were Soldiers
Universal- The 40-Year-Old Virgin, Apollo 13, The Bourne Supremacy,
The Chronicles of Riddick, Cinderella Man, Doom, Jarhead, Serenity, U-571,
and Van Helsing
Warner- Batman Begins, Blazing Saddles, Charlie & The Chocolate
Factory, Constantine,The Dukes of Hazzard, Full Metal Jacket, Goodfellas,
The Green Mile Special Edition, Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire, Kiss
Kiss Bang Bang, The Last Samurai, Lethal Weapon, The Matrix, Million Dollar
Baby, Oceans 12, Phantom of the Opera, Poseidon, Rumor Has It, Swordfish,
Syriana, Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines, Training Day, Troy, Twister,
Unforgiven

Scott
01-18-2006, 12:29 PM
I believe they forgot to mention that the Xbox 360 will release an HD DVD add-on drive later in 2006.

snodgrass23
01-18-2006, 04:14 PM
I believe they forgot to mention that the Xbox 360 will release an HD DVD add-on drive later in 2006.

That's also the lowest pricing I've heard on the PS3. I think $400 will be the absolute minimum, not the highest possible as their $300-$400 range suggests. I'd be surprised if it's even that low actually. My guess would be that it will be $500-$600 unless Sony is willing to lose even more than usual on a hardware launch.